TOTTENHAM ARSENAL PREDICTION

 

One of the biggest North London derbies of the last decade is on the horizon as Arsenal visit Tottenham with a Champions League berth squarely on the line.

With just three matches remaining in the Premier League season and only four points separating the teams in the battle for a top-four spot, the stakes are high — the final Champions League place awarded in the Premier League is still up for grabs. The two sides are in very different positions entering the match: As the chasers and the home team, Tottenham (5th, 62 points) need a win at all costs, while Arsenal (4th, 66 points) can hold out for a draw and still be pleased with a positive result. 

With three of the four Champions League places virtually locked up — Manchester City and Liverpool have already clinched, while Chelsea are on the verge — that leaves the one spot which will be claimed by Arsenal or Tottenham. The Gunners have a four-point lead for the final berth and a win would officially clinch it. A draw would also serve Arsenal well, maintaining their four-point cushion with only two matches to play.

For Tottenham, they have ground to make up and require a win at all costs to harbor any realistic hope of catching Arsenal. Three points for the hosts on Thursday would throw the whole race for a loop. What happens if the teams finished tied on points on the final day? Spurs currently hold the tiebreaker with a significant advantage in goal difference (+20 vs. +14). Based on the betting markets, Spurs are given the edge at home, as one would expect. What's interesting is the kind of match the odds are projecting.

Goals are expected in this high-stakes match: The over 2.5 total goals is seen as the most likely outcome, and both teams to score is a popular pick among bettors. According to Sofascore here is their pregame form as shown below

PREGAME FORM

Last 5
Pts
4
Arsenal
Arsenal
6.92
66
5
Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur
7.00
62

WINNING ODDS

Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur
When the odds are 2.20 the expected chance of winning is 45%, but this team actually wins 55% matches with these odds.
Arsenal
Arsenal
When the odds are 3.20 the expected chance of winning is 31%, but this team actually wins 36% matches with these odds.
And like i said in my yesterdays article when both teams have the yellow that means there will definitely be goals in the match over 2.5 total goals will definitely work, but to be on a safer side i will advise bettors to bet on over1.5 total goals.

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